I'm a big a Rock Band fan as you're going to find. I'll be with the franchise until the end (which I hope never comes, but honestly at this point?)
I'd love for there to be a Rock Band 4. Really I would. Nothing would make me happier.
But let's face facts. Rock Band 3 didn't sell anywhere near what was hoped it would. The fan base has dwindled to probably less than 20,000 at this point. It costs a LOT to manufacture the plastic instruments, and retailers have been burned once by the big kits cluttering up their stores when the bottom fell out of the genre. So getting them to stock the big band kits again is going to be a huge hurdle to overcome.
Now Harmonix hasn't came out and said no there will not be a Rock Band 4, BUT they never said no there's not going to be anymore Beatles DLC but I think we all know at this point there's not going to be anymore Beatles DLC.
I think Blitz was a way for them to get a new Rock Band title out there without the HUGE risk of putting out a retail title with instruments and then it possibly bombs. Because I can't imagine the millions of dollars it would cost to get the instruments, discs, distribution, etc, and if that fails...it could mean the end of Harmonix.
So I would LOVE to be proved wrong. Really I would. But realistically at this point in the franchise, where things are at in the genre, I don't see another retail RB title unless the genre comes back like the fighting genre did (and that took almost 15 years of it being on the fringes).
The thing I hope for is that when the new consoles come out at the very least RB3 will work with them (there's a digital copy on the 360, AND according to what we've heard dlc and purchases will carry over with your gamer tag to the new consoles), or they'll put out a 'shell' Rock Band arcade title on the new consoles that will have updated graphics and venues, that allows you to 'import' your existing DLC to the new machines, and hopefully ups the maximum song limit. However even if that happens we still have the problem of instruments. They're getting scarce now, and in another year they're going to be like spotting bigfoot riding a pegasus. More and more instruments are just going to fail over time, and with no plans for new stock, then...well how can there be a new Rock Band title to continue the franchise if the very thing you use to play the games can't be purchased anywhere?
BUT I digress, and even if Rock Band ends with this current console generation then honestly it's been a hell of a ride, and I doubt that the accomplishments that Harmonix has made with Rock Band just in the DLC department alone will ever be repeated. And at the very least Rock Band 3 and all our DLC will still work with our current consoles and there's enough music there to keep us busy for a very long time.
Last edited by ThatAuthoringGroup; 09-15-2012 at 12:05 PM.
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EDIT: Oh, I forgot what I was even going to post: Until seeing this thread, I didn't even realize that the RB3 songs aren't available in Blitz, lmao.
In all honesty if *I* were at HMX we'd see a RB4, but as long as MS and Sony are letting downloaded purchases carry over to the next systems I'd shoot for RB4 being a launch title the day the new Xbox drops. We know the countdown is on for our current systems to be abandoned, it makes more sense to launch on the next system where they can push DLC with the newer crowd than a system people will be transitioning out of.
Hopefully we'll see exports of RB3 and maybe (dare I hope) The Beatles, that will work with RB4 and Blitz.
DLC I Need:
__ Peter Gabriel
__ Midnight Oil
__ Twisted Sister
__ Robert Palmer
__ Oingo Boingo
HMX might know fully well that a new retail release for RB would utterly freaking ruin them. (I don't know either, I don't have the information either)
I doubt we'll get RB4 but I've said it years ago and I'll say it again: make it real instruments only. The tracklist would just be the old RB tracklists but with real instruments. Keep the visuals essentially the same. The guitar/bass would be like Rocksmith, the drums basically pro drums but with hit-hat/multiple crash/flam/double kick/etc toggles, keys would be pro two-handed, vocals stay the same or also register between octaves. Decrease legacy DLC production, increase convertion of all legacy DLC, ideally chronologically. Get the game sold in music stores as a gamefied teacher to learn 150-4k songs on a real instrument. Include a trainer mode that increasingly hides notes as the person continues to play well to ensure better memorization and a lowered reliance on the visual notechart. For real musicians throw in a tools option to record and play your own music locally and integrate with RBN to release the songs just by playing them ingame.
Maybe switch to a subscription model that requires you to be online to play. Pay $x/month for access to the entire library, licensed by paying the artist $y every time Z song is played.
Not going to happen, I know. It would be amazing though.
If the tech is such that controllers from the previous generation carry over, as does DLC and downloadable games, I think there's a very good chance we see a Rock Band 4. If it takes a whole new set of hardware, however, along with a commitment to build a music library from scratch again, I'd imagine that Harmonix calls it a franchise. Asking people to buy in for another $60 for the game is one matter. Asking them to buy in for $200 for the full suite of controllers, plus countless more for DLC, is another matter altogether.